Avalanche (AVAX) is entering a decisive phase as price action begins to outline potential paths for its next major move. As the market balances between a short-term bullish reaction and the risk of a deeper decline, key price zones are now coming into focus. Rather than chasing momentum, the chart suggests a period where patience and positioning around critical levels could determine how the next broader trend develops.
Two clear paths on the avalanche graph: no biases, just scenarios
in an avalanche updatecryptanalyst Cryptosahintas explained that the current graph presents two main scenarios, without imposing certainty on any of the results. In the first scenario, AVAX could follow the path marked by the red arrow, where the price makes a short-term bullish reaction towards the $22.5 area. Interestingly, the move could be followed by another pullback towards the $11 region, which could allow the market to reset and form a healthier ascending structure over time.
The second scenario, represented by the black arrow, suggests a deeper initial decline towards the $8.5 area. From there, the price could recover towards $22.5 before experiencing another pullback towards the broader $8-$10 band. This type of price action could also help lay the groundwork for a new uptrend.
In both scenarios, the common conclusion remains the same: these highlighted zones offer the most logical areas to position yourself from a risk-reward standpoint. Cryptosahintas emphasized that waiting with a plan, rather than chasing prices from higher levels, remains the healthiest and most disciplined approach in the current market structure.
Plan for each scenario, do not predict an outcome
The analyst went further to clarify personal positioning, explaining that the average entry is within the range of $22 to $24. In the event of an intermediate rally, the intention is to unload positions around these levels, walk away from the market and wait patiently. After that, the focus would be on reassessing potential opportunities in the $10-$8 zone, where risk-reward conditions could become more favorable.
However, if no relief rally materializes and the price slides directly towards the $8 region, the strategy does not change, which is to stay on the sidelines and observe rather than react emotionally to the downside volatility. Maintaining composure and avoiding impulsive decisions is considered essential during sharp market movements.
The core of this approach is preparation rather than prediction. The analyst emphasized that the goal is not to state with certainty what will happen next, but rather to have a predefined answer for each likely outcome. Knowing in advance how to act regardless of the scenario that develops keeps the plan disciplined, consistent and based on risk management.
